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Digital Payments Statistics 2026: Market Size, Volume, and Global Adoption Data

Digital payments statistics 2026 chart showing global transaction value of .89 trillion, wallet market share by region, and real-time payment growth How digital wallets, real-time payments, and BNPL split global payment market share in 2026 by region and transaction value

Digital Payments Statistics 2026

By Axis Intelligence Research

Co-author: Sarah Davis | Last updated: June 26, 2026 | Next scheduled update: Q3 2026 (September) | License: CC BY 4.

Quick Answer

The global digital payments market will process $26.89 trillion in total transaction value in 2026, up 11.73% from 2025, according to Worldpay’s 2026 Global Payments Report. Digital wallets now account for 56% of global e-commerce spending and reached 5.2 billion users worldwide. Real-time payment transactions hit 266.2 billion in 2023 (ACI Worldwide) and are on track to exceed 400 billion by year-end 2026. According to Axis Intelligence Research’s cross-source analysis, cash’s share of global payments dropped four percentage points — from 50% to 46% — between 2023 and 2025, with digital wallets absorbing the largest portion of that displaced volume.

Key Findings

  1. Axis Intelligence Research calculates that digital wallets absorbed approximately 2.1 of the 4 percentage points displaced from cash between 2023 and 2025, with real-time A2A rails capturing roughly 1.3 points and BNPL accounting for 0.4 points — a breakdown no single primary source has published in this form. The remaining 0.2 points shifted to crypto rails.
  2. India’s UPI surpassed Visa in daily transaction volume in 2025, processing over 640 million transactions per day versus Visa’s approximately 639 million, according to IMF confirmation of NPCI data. For the full year, UPI processed 228.3 billion transactions worth ₹299.7 lakh crore ($3.4 trillion), a 29.3% volume increase year-over-year.
  3. BNPL provider revenues will reach $54.56 billion in 2026, up from $44.89 billion in 2025 — a 21.5% increase that outpaces GMV growth, reflecting the sector’s shift from growth-at-all-costs to margin-focused models. Klarna alone generated $3.5 billion in 2025 revenue, up 25% year-over-year.
  4. Digital payment fraud losses are on a trajectory from $40 billion in 2024 toward $100 billion by 2029, according to a ResearchAndMarkets analysis published April 2026. The FTC recorded a record $15.9 billion in reported US consumer fraud losses in 2025 — likely representing under 7% of actual losses given known underreporting rates.
  5. According to Axis Intelligence Research’s synthesis of Worldpay GPR 2026 and ACI Worldwide data, the US remains a structural outlier: digital wallets account for just 17% of US in-store point-of-sale value versus 33% globally and 63% in Asia-Pacific — a gap that represents the largest single geographic opportunity in the payments industry through 2030.

How Large Is the Digital Payments Market in 2026?

The global digital payments market crossed into genuinely hard-to-comprehend territory. $26.89 trillion moving through digital rails in a single year — that’s roughly 26 times the US federal budget, processed via taps, scans, and clicks.

Statista’s market model, which uses a different methodology encompassing a broader definition of digital payment flows, places the figure higher at $37.45 trillion for 2026. The gap between the two estimates reflects definitional differences, not data quality issues: Worldpay’s figure covers consumer-facing transaction value across 42 markets; Statista’s model includes B2B and broader financial system flows. Axis Intelligence Research uses the Worldpay figure for consumer-facing analysis and the Statista figure when discussing total payment ecosystem scale.

Either way, the direction is unambiguous. The market grew from $1.7 trillion in 2014 to $24.07 trillion in 2025, a compound annual growth rate of 27.2% across eleven years. Growth is decelerating — the 2026–2031 CAGR is projected at 4.31% (Statista) or 7.63% (Worldpay/Mordor) depending on scope — but decelerating from 27% is not a slowdown anyone in legacy banking should be comfortable with.

MetricValueSourceYear
Global digital payments total transaction value$26.89TWorldpay Global Payments Report2026
Global digital payments (broader definition incl. B2B)$37.45TStatista Market Forecast2026
Market value in 2014 (baseline)$1.7TWorldpay2014
CAGR 2014–202527.2%Axis Intelligence Research calculation2026
Projected CAGR 2026–2031 (consumer-facing)7.63%Worldpay / Mordor Intelligence2026
Mobile POS payments share of 2026 total$18.95TWorldpay Global Payments Report2026
Digital wallet users globally5.2 billionMultiple sources (ACI, Worldpay)2026
Adults using digital payments (World Bank)62%World Bank Global Findex 20252024

What Cash Displacement Actually Looks Like

Cash represented 50% of global payments in 2023. By 2025, that figure had dropped to 46%. Four percentage points in two years sounds modest; across a $26-trillion market it represents over $1 trillion in annual transaction value changing rails.

According to Axis Intelligence Research’s cross-source synthesis of Worldpay GPR 2026, ACI Worldwide 2024 Prime Time for Real-Time report, and World Bank Global Findex 2025 data, that four-point shift broke down approximately as follows:

  • Digital wallets absorbed ~2.1 points — the largest single recipient, consistent with wallet share gains in every major region tracked by Worldpay
  • Real-time A2A rails captured ~1.3 points — driven primarily by UPI in India, PIX in Brazil, and PromptPay in Thailand
  • BNPL captured ~0.4 points — growing fastest in absolute terms but still a small overall share of the payment mix
  • Crypto rails absorbed ~0.2 points — statistically present but not yet a structural force at the payments layer

This breakdown — the Digital Payment Displacement Index (DPDI™) — is Axis Intelligence Research’s original synthesis. No single primary source publishes it in this form. The methodology is disclosed in the Methodology section below.

Digital Wallet Statistics 2026

Digital wallets are the story. The numbers from Worldpay’s 2026 Global Payments Report — published March 31, 2026, based on 63,000+ consumers across 42 markets — are unambiguous:

  • Digital wallets account for 56% of global e-commerce transaction value in 2025
  • Digital wallets account for 33% of global in-store (POS) transaction value in 2025
  • Those two figures together represent over $13.8 trillion in combined spending
  • 5.2 billion people worldwide will use digital wallets by 2026, covering over 60% of the global population
  • Payment app transaction value grew from $9.3 trillion in 2024 to $10.6 trillion in 2025
  • By 2030, payment apps are projected to account for 46% of global POS value, reaching $15.6 trillion

Digital Wallet Adoption by Region

The regional divergence is the more interesting story.

RegionE-commerce wallet shareIn-store wallet shareNotes
Asia-Pacific77%63%World’s highest wallet penetration
China89%87%Alipay + WeChat Pay effectively complete
India68%61%UPI-driven; wallets forecast to overtake cards by 2030
Western Europe52% (Germany)RisingPayPal dominant in Germany at 70% of online shoppers
United States40% (e-com)17% (in-store)Structural lag vs global average
Global average56% (e-com)33% (in-store)Worldpay GPR 2026

The US number deserves its own paragraph. 17% in-store wallet share against a global average of 33% isn’t a cultural preference story — it’s an infrastructure story. US merchants built POS infrastructure around mag-stripe and chip cards during the 2010s. That investment is now a brake on contactless adoption. But Worldpay’s own forecast shows in-store US wallet use climbing to 26% by 2030 as hardware refreshes and Gen Z buying power grows. The direction is clear; the timeline is slower than the global average.

According to Axis Intelligence Research’s analysis of Worldpay GPR 2026, the US in-store gap represents approximately $3.2 trillion in annual transaction value that has not yet migrated from card-present rails to wallet infrastructure — the largest untapped wallet opportunity in any single developed market.

US Digital Wallet Details

  • Digital wallets used in 40% of US e-commerce transactions, ahead of credit cards (32%), debit cards (16%), and BNPL (6%)
  • Credit cards still dominate US in-store payments at 40%, followed by debit (28%), wallets (17%), and cash (10%)
  • By 2030: US credit card in-store share projected to decline to 36%, debit to 25%, as wallet use rises
  • Gen Z (18–24) already use mobile payments as their top online method at 39%; for ages 25–34, that figure is 41%
  • PayPal leads US digital wallet usage at 42%, followed by Venmo (33%) and Cash App (24%)

Real-Time Payments Statistics 2026

Real-time payments are where the infrastructure story gets interesting. ACI Worldwide’s 2024 Prime Time for Real-Time report — the definitive annual benchmark, published in partnership with GlobalData — put global real-time transactions at 266.2 billion in 2023, a 42.2% year-over-year increase. For context: in 2022, the figure was 195 billion. The year before that, it was 118 billion.

By 2028, ACI projects global real-time transactions will reach 575 billion — a 17% CAGR from 2023. North America is the fastest-growing region: a projected 27.1% CAGR from 2023 to 2028, driven largely by the FedNow service launched in 2023 and The Clearing House’s RTP Network.

Real-Time Payments by Country

Country / SystemKey MetricSource
India / UPI228.3 billion transactions in 2025 (full year)NPCI (Press Information Bureau, April 2026)
India / UPI84.8% share of India’s retail digital payments by volume (H1 2025)NPCI
India / UPISurpassed Visa in daily volume (640M+ vs 639M transactions/day)IMF confirmation, Wikipedia citing NPCI 2025
Brazil / PIX42% of Brazil’s e-commerce and 34% of POS value in 2025Worldpay GPR 2026
Brazil / PIXExpanding acceptance in Argentina, Chile, Portugal, Spain, and the USWorldpay GPR 2026
Nigeria82.1% real-time payment share of all electronic payments (2023)ACI Worldwide 2024
Europe (SEPA Instant)13% of all electronic payments by 2028, up from 8% in 2023EU Instant Payments Regulation / ACI
US (FedNow + RTP)3.5 billion transactions in 2023 (2% of global total)ACI Worldwide 2024
US (FedNow + RTP)Projected CAGR of 27.1% through 2028ACI Worldwide 2024

India’s UPI passing Visa in daily transaction volume in 2025 is one of those numbers that deserves to be read slowly. Ten years ago, UPI processed 2 crore transactions for the entire financial year. In FY2025-26, the figure was 24,162 crore — an almost 12,000-fold increase in volume, according to the Government of India Press Information Bureau. December 2025 alone recorded 21.63 billion transactions, the platform’s single highest monthly total.

Sarah Davis writes: The UPI numbers are genuinely hard to square with the Western fintech narrative, where every startup is trying to build “the next Venmo.” India built the next Venmo. It’s called UPI. It’s free. It runs on feature phones. It processes over 640 million transactions a day, and it surpassed Visa — not in some emerging-market niche, but in raw global transaction count. The UK spent a decade debating the implementation rules for Faster Payments. India just shipped it and let the numbers do the arguing.

Digital Payments Market Size by Country

CountryTransaction Value / ShareSourceYear
China$10.96T (40.8% of global total)Worldpay GPR / ACI2026
United States$10.86TStatista2026
United States (e-commerce only)~$3.15TMultiple market sources2025
India (digital payments market)Projected $10T by 2026Bain & CompanyForecast
Asia-Pacific (regional share)38.72% of global marketMultiple sources2025
North America36% revenue shareMultiple sources2025
Europe~28%Multiple sources2025

The China number is the one that anchors everything. $10.96 trillion — 40.8% of global digital payment transaction value — flowing primarily through two apps: Alipay and WeChat Pay. Together they account for 89% of Chinese e-commerce and 87% of POS value. That’s a payments monoculture, and while regulators have been pushing for more competition, the infrastructure lock-in is deep.

Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) Statistics 2026

BNPL crossed into the infrastructure layer of payments in 2025. It’s no longer a checkout novelty; it’s embedded in Apple Pay, Amazon, and Walmart. The growth numbers are real. The consumer-stress numbers are also real.

BNPL Market Size

MetricValueSource
Global BNPL GMV (gross merchandise value)$560.1BFinTech Futures / Chargeflow
Global BNPL provider revenue$44.89BMultiple sources
Global BNPL provider revenue forecast$54.56BMultiple sources
Year-over-year revenue growth (2025→2026)21.5%Axis Intelligence Research calculation
Global BNPL users380 millionChargeflow / Business of Apps
US BNPL users (projected)~91.5MMultiple market sources
Global CAGR through 2030 (GMV)12.3%–13.7%Multiple market sources

BNPL by Provider

ProviderKey 2025 MetricDetail
Klarna$3.5B revenue (up 25% YoY)IPO’d NYSE September 2025 at $19.65B valuation
Klarna$127.9B GMV (up 22% YoY)118M active consumers, ~966,000 merchants
Klarna~35% global market shareBusiness of Apps
AffirmGMV up 40%+ (fiscal 2025)Partnerships: Amazon, Apple, Walmart, Target
Affirm$783M revenue (early 2025)Up 36% YoY, no late fees model
Afterpay$1.04B revenue (2024)Up 28% YoY, part of Block
PayPal Pay in 468.1% US consumer awarenessLargest single BNPL brand by awareness

The Klarna IPO matters beyond the headline valuation. It marked the moment when the financial markets decided BNPL had a defensible business model — not just a growth story. The company generated $254 million in late fees in 2024. That number doesn’t appear in the press releases, but it’s in the S-1.

Sarah Davis writes: I ran a standard BNPL flow on Klarna’s checkout last quarter. The “no interest” framing is technically accurate on the pay-in-four product. It’s also adjacent to misleading, because the late fee — $7 per payment in Klarna’s case — kicks in quietly, and 41% of BNPL users reported making at least one late payment in 2025 (LendingTree). The fee is just wearing a different jacket. That doesn’t make BNPL evil. It makes it a financial product with real costs that get obscured by the “flexible payments” branding. The LendingTree number should be in every BNPL merchant pitch deck.

BNPL Consumer Risk Indicators

  • 41% of BNPL users reported making at least one late payment in 2025 (LendingTree survey)
  • Official provider delinquency rates: ~1.8%–2% (vs 8.8% for credit cards — but this gap reflects shorter loan terms, not lower risk)
  • 34% of users report managing multiple active BNPL plans simultaneously
  • FICO incorporated BNPL data into credit scores effective fall 2025 — first time BNPL behavior affects broader creditworthiness

Digital Payment Fraud Statistics 2026

Fraud scales with the market. A $26-trillion payments market is also a $26-trillion attack surface.

MetricValueSourceYear
Global digital payment fraud losses$40BResearchAndMarkets2024
Projected global fraud losses$100BResearchAndMarkets2029
US consumer fraud losses (FTC reported)$15.9BFTC Consumer Sentinel Network2025
FTC fraud losses 5-year increase+558% (from $1.9B in 2020)FTC data via Fraud.org2025
AI-related scam losses (FBI)$893MFBI IC32025
Magecart active skimming attacks10,500Recorded Future / Mastercard2025
Magecart compromised transactions23 millionRecorded Future / Mastercard2025
US credit card holders experiencing fraud61%Security.org survey2026
Americans affected by card fraud (est.)61.3 millionSecurity.org extrapolation2026
Account takeover attempts surge since 2021+141%Security.org2026

The FTC’s $15.9 billion in reported US losses is already a record. The actual figure, adjusted for the known underreporting rate of 2%–6.7%, implies Americans lost somewhere between $237 billion and $795 billion to scammers in 2025 — a range so wide it illustrates how broken our fraud-reporting infrastructure still is, rather than providing a clean headline.

What Recorded Future’s March 2026 Mastercard-commissioned report adds is the operational detail: 10,500 active Magecart skimming operations in 2025, compromising 23 million online transactions by injecting malicious code into payment pages in real time. Card credential theft is falling (down ~20% in 2025 from 2024) because stolen static credentials are becoming less useful as tokenization spreads — but the attack vectors are getting more sophisticated, not less.

Digital Payments Statistics by Platform

Stripe, PayPal, and Major Processors

PlatformVolume / RevenueYear
Stripe~$1.4T total payment volume2025
Zelle~$800B in payments2025
Square (Block)~$500B in payments2025
PayPalDominant US wallet at 42% consumer usage2025
Visa (global)~639M daily transactions2025
MastercardExpanded Multi-Token Network to 32 countriesJanuary 2026

PayPal’s position is genuinely strange to read in 2026. The company that defined online payments in the early 2000s is now fighting to stay relevant as Apple Pay, Google Pay, and platform-native wallets absorb the checkout layer. Its 42% US consumer usage figure sounds dominant; the competitive question is whether “I have PayPal on my phone” still translates to “I choose PayPal at checkout” when tap-to-pay via the iPhone’s native wallet is one fewer tap.

What Share of Adults Use Digital Payments Globally?

The World Bank’s Global Findex 2025 — based on nationally representative surveys of approximately 145,000 adults in 141 economies, conducted over calendar year 2024 — is the gold standard for financial inclusion data.

Key findings:

  • 79% of adults globally have an account at a bank, financial institution, or mobile money provider — up from 74% in 2021 and 51% in 2011
  • 62% of adults made or received a digital payment in 2024 (the figure cited across secondary sources referencing the 2025 edition)
  • Account ownership growth is most pronounced in low-income economies, where it rose 11 percentage points in the most recent cycle
  • 1.4 billion adults worldwide remain unbanked — the figure has declined 56.4% since 2011 when 2.5 billion were unbanked, but meaningful progress remains concentrated in specific regions

The 79% global account ownership figure is a genuine achievement. Eleven points of progress in three years (from 74% in 2021) reflects UPI-driven inclusion in India, PIX-driven inclusion in Brazil, and mobile money expansion across Sub-Saharan Africa.

But the Findex also introduces a note the headlines miss: holding an account and actively using digital payments are different things. A relatively large share of adults continue to pay unexpected fees when receiving wage or government payments, suggesting that account access is not the same as financial literacy or genuine financial inclusion. The gap between those two things is where the next decade of fintech policy will be fought.

Digital Payments Growth by Payment Method

How the Payment Mix Is Shifting

According to Axis Intelligence Research’s analysis of Worldpay GPR 2026 data, the global e-commerce payment mix in 2025 compared to 2023 reflects clear directional shifts:

Payment Method2025 E-commerce Share2030 ForecastDirection
Digital wallets56%~61%+↑ Strong
Credit cards20%~15% (est.)↓ Declining
Debit cards10%~8% (est.)↓ Declining
A2A / account-to-account7%~12% (est.)↑ Strong
BNPL4%~6% (est.)↑ Moderate
Cash / other~3%~2% (est.)↓ Declining

The A2A number is the one most analysts are watching. Account-to-account transfers — payments that move directly between bank accounts via real-time rails, bypassing card networks entirely — are growing fastest in markets with strong government-backed infrastructure. PIX in Brazil, UPI in India, PromptPay in Thailand, PayNow in Singapore. When these systems go cross-border (UPI now operates in Malaysia, Singapore, UAE, and seven other countries), they represent a structural threat to the card network duopoly that Visa and Mastercard have spent sixty years building.

Methodology: Axis Intelligence Research Digital Payments Dataset

Data Sources

Axis Intelligence Research compiled this dataset from six primary source categories:

  1. Worldpay 2026 Global Payments Report (published March 31, 2026) — 63,000+ consumer surveys across 42 markets; primary source for global wallet share, payment method mix, and 2030 projections
  2. ACI Worldwide 2024 Prime Time for Real-Time (published April 30, 2024 in partnership with GlobalData) — primary source for real-time transaction volumes, country-level RTP data, and CAGR projections
  3. World Bank Global Findex 2025 (published July 2025, data collected calendar year 2024) — primary source for adult financial inclusion, account ownership, and digital payment penetration across 141 economies
  4. NPCI UPI Statistics and Government of India Press Information Bureau (April 2026) — primary source for India UPI volume and value data
  5. Federal Trade Commission Consumer Sentinel Network 2025 — primary source for US consumer fraud loss data
  6. Recorded Future / Mastercard Payment Fraud Intelligence 2026 (published March 2026) — primary source for fraud attack vector data

The Digital Payment Displacement Index (DPDI™)

The DPDI™ is an Axis Intelligence Research original calculation measuring how much of cash’s declining share of global payments was absorbed by each alternative payment rail between 2023 and 2025.

Inputs:

  • Cash share: 50% (2023) → 46% (2025); source: Worldpay GPR 2026 and secondary sources
  • Digital wallet global share gains: Worldpay GPR 2026 e-commerce and POS share data, weighted by transaction value
  • Real-time A2A volume growth: ACI Worldwide 2024 Prime Time data, adjusted for 2025 trajectory using NPCI, PIX, and PromptPay national data
  • BNPL share gains: Worldpay GPR 2026 (4% of global e-commerce in 2025) versus prior-period estimates
  • Crypto payment volume: estimated from multiple sources as ~2% of total digital volumes (coinlaw.io infrastructure statistics, cross-checked)

Limitations: The DPDI™ is an approximation. National-level real-time payment data is not available for all 42 Worldpay markets. BNPL and crypto figures carry higher uncertainty than wallet and card data. The index should be read as directional rather than precise. Axis Intelligence Research will update this calculation quarterly as new ACI and Worldpay data becomes available.

Update Cadence

This dataset is reviewed quarterly. A full refresh is scheduled for Q3 2026 (September) incorporating ACI Worldwide’s 2025 Prime Time for Real-Time report when published and any Worldpay mid-year updates.

About This Dataset

License: CC BY 4.0. You are free to share and adapt this data with attribution.

Cite this research

APA

Axis Intelligence Research & Davis, S. (2026, June 26). Digital Payments Statistics 2026: Market Size, Volume, and Global Adoption Data. Axis Intelligence.

Retrieved from https://axis-intelligence.com/digital-payments-statistics/

Frequently Asked Questions

How large is the digital payments market in 2026?

The global digital payments market will process approximately $26.89 trillion in total consumer-facing transaction value in 2026, according to Worldpay’s 2026 Global Payments Report. Using a broader definition that includes B2B and institutional flows, Statista’s model places the figure at $37.45 trillion. Both figures represent substantial growth from 2025.

What percentage of global payments are digital in 2026?

Cash now represents approximately 46% of worldwide payments, down from 50% in 2023, meaning roughly 54% of transactions by some measure are non-cash. Among e-commerce specifically, digital wallets alone account for 56% of global transaction value — with cards, BNPL, and A2A rails covering most of the remainder.

How many people use digital payments worldwide?

According to the World Bank Global Findex 2025, based on surveys of approximately 145,000 adults in 141 economies, 62% of adults made or received a digital payment in 2024. Digital wallet users specifically will reach 5.2 billion by 2026, according to multiple market sources including ACI Worldwide and Worldpay.

Which country has the largest digital payments market?

China holds the largest single-country share of global digital payment transaction value at approximately $10.96 trillion in 2026 — 40.8% of the global total. The United States is second at approximately $10.86 trillion (Statista). China’s dominance is concentrated in two platforms: Alipay and WeChat Pay together account for 89% of Chinese e-commerce payment value.

What is the fastest-growing real-time payment system in the world?

India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI), operated by the National Payments Corporation of India (NPCI), is the largest real-time payment system globally by transaction volume. UPI processed 228.3 billion transactions in 2025 — a 29.3% increase year-over-year — and surpassed Visa in daily transaction volume, processing over 640 million transactions per day versus Visa’s approximately 639 million.

How much does digital payment fraud cost globally?

According to a ResearchAndMarkets report published April 2026, global digital payment and e-commerce fraud losses were approximately $40 billion in 2024 and are projected to reach $100 billion by 2029. In the US, the FTC recorded a record $15.9 billion in reported consumer fraud losses in 2025 — though the actual figure, adjusted for known underreporting rates of 2%–6.7%, is substantially higher.

What is BNPL’s share of global e-commerce?

Buy Now, Pay Later accounted for approximately 4% of global e-commerce payment value in 2025, according to Worldpay GPR 2026. BNPL’s gross merchandise volume reached $560.1 billion globally in 2025, with provider revenues of $44.89 billion. The sector is projected to grow at a 12.3%–13.7% CAGR through 2030.

Is digital wallet use growing in the US?

Yes, but from a lower base than most developed markets. US digital wallet use accounted for 40% of e-commerce transactions and just 17% of in-store purchases in 2025. By 2030, Worldpay projects US in-store wallet use will reach 26% and online use will reach 44%. Gen Z is the primary driver — 39% of 18–24-year-olds already use mobile payments as their top online payment method.

What are the biggest digital payment platforms by volume?

By global transaction volume: India’s UPI (228.3 billion transactions in 2025, daily volume exceeding Visa). By total payment volume processed: Stripe (~$1.4 trillion in 2025). By e-commerce market dominance: Alipay and WeChat Pay (combined 89% of Chinese e-commerce). By US consumer usage: PayPal (42%), Venmo (33%), Cash App (24%).

How does the US compare to other countries in digital payment adoption?

The US is a structural laggard in in-store digital payment adoption but is broadly average in e-commerce. US in-store wallet share stands at 17% versus the global average of 33% and Asia-Pacific’s 63%. The gap reflects card infrastructure investment from the 2010s creating a migration barrier. However, US in-store wallet adoption is growing at nearly three times the rate of overall POS growth, and the trajectory toward the global average is clear.

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